Forex traders will get a minor economic distraction from the election circus in Canada today with the release of housing starts and building permits. Economists expected a further slowdown in the housing market, as seasonality is starting to filter through the data. In the meantime, Canadian voters will sort through last night’s TV debate in order to assess how PM Trudeau performed following his “brownface scandal”. How will this influence the CADJPY? Today’s fundamental analysis will take a look at price action in bot directions.
Economic data out of Japan released this morning pointed towards an more hardship for the consumer. Labor cash earnings continued to contract, but household spending expanded. How long will the Japanese consumer keep up this pace? The ECO Watchers Survey confirmed a worsening outlook for the slowing Japanese economy, but the trade balance for August came in better than expected. Where is the CADJPY headed next? Subscribe to the PaxForex Daily Fundamental Analysis and earn over 5,000 pips per month.
Here is the key factor to keep in mind today for Canadian Dollar trades:
- Canadian Housing Starts and Building Permits: Canadian Housing Starts for September are predicted at 217.5K. Forex traders can compare this to Canadian Housing Starts for August which were reported at 226.6K. Canadian Building Permits for August are predicted to increase by 1.2% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to Canadian Building Permits for July which increased by 3.0% monthly.
Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for Japanese Yen trades:
- Japanese Labor Cash Earnings and Japanese Real Cash Earnings: Japanese Labor Cash Earnings for August decreased by 0.2% annualized and Japanese Real Cash Earnings decreased by 0.6% annualized. Economists predicted a decrease of 0.2% and of 0.6%. Forex traders can compare this to Japanese Labor Cash Earnings for July which decreased by 1.0% annualized and to Japanese Real Cash Earnings which decreased by 1.7% annualized.
- Japanese Household Spending: Japanese Household Spending for August increased by 2.4% monthly and by 1.0% annualized. Economists predicted an increase 2.8% and of 1.2% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Japanese Household Spending for July which decreased by 0.9% monthly and which increased by 0.8% annualized.
- Japanese Current Account Balance and Trade Balance: The Preliminary Japanese Current Account Balance for August was reported at ¥2,157.7B. Economists predicted a figure of ¥2,069.5B. Forex traders can compare this to the Japanese Current Account Balance for July which was reported at ¥1,999.9B. The Preliminary Japanese Adjusted Current Account Balance for August was reported at ¥1,720.3B. Economists predicted a figure of ¥1,682.1B. Forex traders can compare this to the Japanese Adjusted Current Account Balance for July which was reported at ¥1,647.1B. The Preliminary Japanese Trade Balance for August was reported at ¥50.9B. Economists predicted a figure of ¥36.4B. Forex traders can compare this to the Japanese Trade Balance for July which was reported at -¥74.5B.
- Japanese Bankruptcies: Japanese Bankruptcies for September increased by 13.04% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Japanese Bankruptcies for August which decreased by 2.30% annualized.
- Japanese Eco Watchers Survey: The Japanese Eco Watchers Survey Current Index for September was reported at 46.7 and the Japanese Eco Watchers Survey Outlook Index was reported at 36.9. Economists predicted a figure of 43.3 and of 38.7. Forex traders can compare this to the Japanese Eco Watchers Survey Current Index for August which was reported at 42.8 and to the Japanese Eco Watchers Survey Outlook Index which was reported at 39.7.
Should price action for the CADJPY remain inside the or breakdown below the 80.550 to 81.200 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Short Position
- Entry Level: Short Position @ 80.800
- Take Profit Zone: 78.500 – 79.100
- Stop Loss Level: 81.650
Should price action for the CADJPY breakout above 81.200 the following trade set-up is recommended:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Long Position
- Entry Level: Long Position @ 81.650
- Take Profit Zone: 82.050 – 82.700
- Stop Loss Level: 81.200
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