Final German and Spanish CPI data confirmed the previous reading and showed the lack of inflation in the Eurozone. Infighting inside the ECB in regards to Draghi’s restart of QY continues, the ECB is set to resume bond purchases on November 1st. The EURCAD remained stuck at resistance, how will the final day of US-China trade negotiations impact price action? Today’s fundamental analysis will cover both sides of price action.
As forex traders will await the Canadian employment report for September, the Canadian Dollar received a boost after an Iranian oil tanker was attacked in the Red Sea. Iran blames Saudi Arabia for the attack and oil prices surged above $60 per barrel. Supply fears have now once again flared up as the global economy is heading closer towards a recession. Will bears be able to ignite a sell-off back into support or are bulls strong enough to force a breakout in the EURCAD despite the fundamental economic weakness in the Eurozone? Subscribe to the PaxForex Daily Fundamental Analysis and grow your balance trade-by-trade.
Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for Euro trades:
- Final German CPI: The Final German CPI for September was reported flat at 0.0% monthly and increased by 1.2% annualized. Economists predicted a flat reading of 0.0% and an increase of 1.2%. Forex traders can compare this to the German CPI for August which decreased by 0.2% monthly and which increased by 1.2% annualized. The Final EU Harmonized German CPI for September decreased by 0.1% monthly and increased by 0.9% annualized. Economists predicted a decrease of 0.1% and an increase of 0.9%. Forex traders can compare this to the EU Harmonized German CPI for August which decreased by 0.1% monthly and which increased by 0.9% annualized.
- Final Spanish CPI: The Final Spanish CPI for September was reported flat at 0.0% monthly and increased by 0.1% annualized. Economists predicted a flat reading of 0.0% and an increase of 0.1%. Forex traders can compare this to the Spanish CPI for August which decreased by 0.1% monthly and which increased by 0.1% annualized. The Final EU Harmonized Spanish CPI for September increased by 0.4% monthly and by 0.2% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 0.4% and of 0.2%. Forex traders can compare this to the EU Harmonized Spanish CPI for August which increased by 0.4% monthly and by 0.2% annualized.
Here is the key factor to keep in mind today for Canadian Dollar trades:
- Canadian Employment Report: The Canadian Employment Report for September is predicted to show the addition of 7.9K jobs and an Unemployment Rate of 5.7%. Forex traders can compare this to the Canadian Employment Report for August which showed the addition of 81.1K jobs and an Unemployment Rate of 5.7%. Hourly Earnings for Permanent Employees for September are predicted to increase by 3.8% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Hourly Earnings for Permanent Employees for August which increased by 3.8% annualized. 21.7K Full-Time Positions are expected to have been created and 10.0K Part-Time Positions lost in September. Forex traders can compare this to the creation of 23.8K Full-Time Positions and 57.2K Part-Time Positions which were reported in August. The Labor Force Participation Rate for September is expected at 65.7%. Forex traders can compare this to the Labor Force Participation Rate for August which was reported at 65.8%.
Should price action for the EURCAD remain inside the or breakdown below the 1.4585 to 1.4650 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Short Position
- Entry Level: Short Position @ 1.4610
- Take Profit Zone: 1.4415 – 1.4470
- Stop Loss Level: 1.4690
Should price action for the EURCAD breakout above 1.4650 the following trade set-up is recommended:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Long Position
- Entry Level: Long Position @ 1.4690
- Take Profit Zone: 1.4860 – 1.4930
- Stop Loss Level: 1.4650
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