Source: PaxForex Premium Analytics Portal, Fundamental Insight
The Preliminary French S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for April is predicted at 47.8, the Preliminary French S&P Global Services PMI at 53.4, and the Preliminary French S&P Global Composite PMI at 52.7. Forex traders can compare this to the French S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for March, reported at 47.3, the French S&P Global Services PMI at 53.9, and the French S&P Global Composite PMI at 52.7.
The Preliminary German S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for April is predicted at 45.7, the Preliminary German S&P Global Services PMI at 53.3, and the Preliminary German S&P Global Composite PMI at 52.7. Forex traders can compare this to the German S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for March, reported at 44.7, the German S&P Global Services PMI at 53.7, and the German S&P Global Composite PMI at 52.6.
The Preliminary Eurozone S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for April is predicted at 48.0, the Preliminary Eurozone S&P Global Services PMI at 54.5, and the Preliminary Eurozone S&P Global Composite PMI at 53.7. Forex traders can compare this to the Eurozone S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for March, reported at 47.3, the Eurozone S&P Global Services PMI at 55.0, and the Eurozone S&P Global Composite PMI at 53.7.
Canadian Retail Sales for February are predicted to decrease by 0.6% monthly, and Canadian Core Retail Sales by 0.1% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to Canadian Retail Sales for January, which rose by 1.4% monthly, and Canadian Core Retail Sales, which increased by 0.9% monthly.
Euro traders will also monitor speeches by the Vice-President of the European Central Bank, Luis de Guindos, and by the Executive Board and Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board Member Frank Elderson, for any hints about monetary policy and their assessment of the state of the Eurozone economy.
The forecast for the EUR/CAD turned bearish after this currency pair formed an imperfect head-and-shoulder pattern, which is a bearish chart formation. While the Kijun-sen and the Tenkan-sen point higher, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud shows signs of a potential contraction, which could magnify bearish pressures on price action. Traders should also monitor the CCI in extreme overbought territory, where a lower high could lead to a reversal and breakdown. A move below zero could accelerate the pending sell-off. Can bears overpower bulls and regain control over the EUR/CAD to pressure this currency pair into its horizontal support area?
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Should price action for the EUR/CAD remain inside the or breakdown below the 1.4765 to 1.4870 zone, PaxForex recommends the following trade set-up:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Short Position
- Entry Level: Short Position @ 1.4800
- Take Profit Zone: 1.4515 – 1.4585
- Stop Loss Level: 1.4900
Should price action for the EUR/CAD breakout above 1.4870, PaxForex recommends the following trade set-up:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Long Position
- Entry Level: Long Position @ 1.4900
- Take Profit Zone: 1.4960 – 1.5035
- Stop Loss Level: 1.4870
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