Forex traders will focus on final Services and Composite PMI data out of the Eurozone with releases on nine different components across the continent. Monday’s Manufacturing PMI data confirmed previous readings for August and economists anticipate the same for today’s set of data. Key Eurozone retail sales for July will also be released where a monthly contraction is expected. What impact will this have on the EURAUD which is currently in the midst of a sell-off? This morning’s fundamental analysis will take a look at the downside potential for an extension of the current move as well as at the upside risks in case of a price action reversal.
The Australian Services PMI for August surprised to the upside this morning and showed an expansion in the sector. Countering the positive reading was the final CBA PMI for August which was revised lower and deeper into contractionary territory. Adding to bullish momentum in the Australian Dollar was a bigger than expected expansion in the Chinese services sector which clocked in at a three-month high despite the trade war President Trump claims to go well for the US and badly for China. How much further can the EURAUD accelerate to the downside? Subscribe to the PaxForex Daily Fundamental Analysis and take the profitable side of this currency pair.
Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for Euro trades:
- Spanish Services PMI: The Spanish Markit Services PMI for August is predicted at 53.0. Forex traders can compare this to the Spanish Markit Services PMI for July which was reported at 52.9.
- Italian Services PMI and Composite PMI: The Italian Markit Services PMI for August is predicted at 51.6. Forex traders can compare this to the Italian Markit Services PMI for July which was reported at 51.7. The Italian Markit Composite PMI for August is predicted at 50.6. Forex traders can compare this to the Italian Markit Composite PMI for July which was reported at 51.0.
- French Services PMI and Composite PMI: The Final French Markit Services PMI for August is predicted at 53.3 Forex traders can compare this to the previous French Markit Services PMI for for August which was reported at 53.3. The Final French Markit Composite PMI for August is predicted at 52.7. Forex traders can compare this to the previous French Markit Composite PMI for for August which was reported at 52.7.
- German Services PMI and Composite PMI: The Final German Markit Services PMI for August is predicted at 54.4. Forex traders can compare this to the previous German Markit Services PMI for for August which was reported at 54.4. The Final German Markit/BME Composite PMI for August is predicted at 51.4. Forex traders can compare this to the previous German Markit/BME Composite PMI for for August which was reported at 51.4.
- Eurozone Services PMI and Composite PMI: The Final Eurozone Markit Services PMI for August is predicted at 53.4. Forex traders can compare this to the previous Eurozone Markit Services PMI for for August which was reported at 53.4. The Final Eurozone Markit Composite PMI for August is predicted at 51.8. Forex traders can compare this to the previous Eurozone Markit Composite PMI for for August which was reported at 51.8.
- Eurozone Retail Sales: Eurozone Retail Sales for July are predicted to decrease by 0.6% monthly and to increase by 2.0% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Eurozone Retail Sales for June which increased by 1.1% monthly and by 2.6% annualized.
Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for Australian Dollar trades:
- Australian AiG Performance of Services Index: The Australian AiG Performance of Services Index for August was reported at 51.4. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian AiG Performance of Services Index for July which was reported at 43.9.
- Australian CBA Services PMI and CBA Composite PMI: The Final Australian CBA Services PMI for August was reported at 49.1. Forex traders can compare this to the previous Australian CBA Services PMI for August which was reported at 49.2. The Final Australian CBA Composite PMI for August was reported at 49.3. Forex traders can compare this to the previous Australian CBA Composite PMI for for August which was reported at 49.5.
- Hong Kong Manufacturing PMI: The Hong Kong Manufacturing PMI for August was reported at 40.8. Forex traders can compare this to the Hong Kong Manufacturing PMI for July which was reported at 43.8.
- Australian GDP: The Australian GDP for the second-quarter increased by 0.5% quarterly and by 1.4% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 0.5% quarterly and of 1.4% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian GDP for the first-quarter which increased by 0.5% quarterly and by 1.7% annualized. Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter decreased by 1.7% quarterly, the Chain Price Index increased by 1.2% quarterly and Final Consumption increased by 1.0% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Capital Expenditure for the first-quarter which decreased by 0.7% quarterly, to the Chain Price Index which increased by 1.3% quarterly and to Final Consumption which increased by 0.4% quarterly.
- Chinese Caixin Services PMI and Chinese Caixin Composite PMI: The Chinese Caixin Services PMI for August was reported at 52.1. Economists predicted a figure of 51.7. Forex traders can compare this to the Chinese Caixin Services PMI for July which was reported at 51.6. The Chinese Caixin Composite PMI for August was reported at 51.6. Forex traders can compare this to the Chinese Caixin Composite PMI for for July which was reported at 50.9.
Should price action for the EURAUD remain inside the or breakdown below the 1.6175 to 1.6230 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Short Position
- Entry Level: Short Position @ 1.6200
- Take Profit Zone: 1.5895 – 1.5945
- Stop Loss Level: 1.6310
Should price action for the EURAUD breakout above 1.6230 the following trade set-up is recommended:
- Timeframe: D1
- Recommendation: Long Position
- Entry Level: Long Position @ 1.6275
- Take Profit Zone: 1.6445 – 1.6500
- Stop Loss Level: 1.6230
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