Source: PaxForex Premium Analytics Portal, Technical Insight
In 2023, the Ripple cryptocurrency experienced a tumultuous journey. Commencing the year at $0.35 per token, the primary coin of the international payment system surged to a peak of $0.82, only to retreat to $0.62. These volatile fluctuations overshadowed the relatively subdued performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices, which, despite historic gains, appeared less dynamic in comparison.
For digital asset investors anticipating the thawing of the latest crypto winter, Ripple holds promise with several imminent catalysts. The token, better known as XRP, seems poised for a potential rocket launch. Let's delve into the factors at play.
Foremost among these is the ongoing lawsuit initiated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) three years ago. This legal battle suspended XRP trading on American crypto brokerage platforms for two years, with the notable exception of the still-restricted Robinhood platform. The specter of court-ordered consequences stemming from potentially improper digital asset trading remains a significant concern.
The lawsuit saw a notable development last summer when District Judge Analisa Torres in the Southern District of New York dismissed a substantial portion of the SEC's allegations. While not a complete triumph for XRP and Ripple Labs, the charge of illegal trading of unregistered securities persists but is now limited to institutional investors.
The final resolution of the SEC lawsuit stands as a pivotal event. Ripple Labs has chosen to defend its actions rigorously, eschewing settlements in favor of establishing legal precedents through a thorough trial. Document-filing deadlines loom in the coming months, culminating in a jury trial expected in the summer or fall of 2024.
The conclusion of Ripple's courtroom saga may be on the horizon, or the case could endure through additional years of appeals. Regardless, the token's value is bound to react significantly to the developments, or lack thereof, in interim rulings. A favorable outcome in the New York courtroom could propel XRP's price upward in 2024, while a more adverse verdict could have the opposite effect.
Notably, the Ripple payment system has maintained a thriving international business, operating successfully beyond the confines of the United States. Surprisingly, the crypto network's trading volume witnessed a surge in the autumn of 2020, despite the court-induced suspension of U.S. trading several months prior. This heightened volume endured for an entire year, underscoring robust usage of the efficient and cost-effective payment system even in the absence of access to the world's largest financial market.
Irrespective of the presence of a regulated American market, Ripple is poised to accrue value over time due to its extensive global footprint. Beyond its utility as a cross-border payments solution, the cryptocurrency serves as a robust platform for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and other crypto-based financial systems. Ripple has been actively exploring CBDC opportunities since 2016 in collaboration with major banks such as Bank of America, Royal Bank of Canada, and Banco Santander.
While the progress of standards and technologies supporting Ripple-based CBDCs may have encountered delays during the American lawsuit saga, it never came to a halt. Recent success stories include the introduction of a Ripple-powered stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar in the small island nation of Palau. In the more substantial yet affluent market of Singapore, Ripple has obtained full licensing for digital payment services, marking a significant step toward the potential launch of a comprehensive CBDC.
As cryptocurrencies continue to gain mainstream acceptance, these projects are poised for renewed momentum. Announcements of fresh progress in Ripple Labs collaborations by key partners like Bank of America and Santander could act as catalysts for a bullish market response, further enhancing the value proposition of Ripple in the evolving landscape.
Ripple's business outlook continues to expand, unaffected by the ongoing SEC lawsuit. Presently, XRP stands as the sixth most valuable cryptocurrency, and this ranking is well-founded. Ripple offers a substantial digital solution to multiple challenges within real-world financial services, contributing to its recognition and market standing. Amidst the day-to-day price fluctuations, cryptocurrencies generate tangible value for coinholders by providing effective solutions to financial issues.
While we refrain from making predictions about an imminent surge in January or a guaranteed rise later in 2024, there's a sense that Ripple is positioned for sustained success over the long term. If the XRP price doesn't experience a significant upswing in 2024, it might present an opportune moment to acquire tokens at a lower cost, anticipating more robust pricing in the years ahead.
For those willing to exercise patience, awaiting market-beating gains until 2025 or even 2030, the journey aligns with the ethos of a long-term investor. Meanwhile, the inherent volatility of XRP may offer periodic opportunities for investors to capitalize on gains or reinforce their position in anticipation of future opportunities. This dynamic interplay between short-term fluctuations and long-term potential adds an interesting dimension to the investment strategy surrounding Ripple's XRP.
GBP/CHF,D1
While the price is below 0.6700, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: D1
- Recommendation: short position
- Entry point: 0.6265
- Take Profit 1: 0.6000
- Take Profit 2: 0.5700
Alternative scenario:
If level 0.6700 is broken-out, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: D1
- Recommendation: long position
- Entry point: 0.6700
- Take profit 1: 0.6900
- Take profit 2: 0.7000