Forex Forecasting In 2020: The Basics Of Predicting Foreign Exchange Rates

Forex Forecasting In 2020: The Basics Of Predicting Foreign Exchange Rates

Written by: PaxForex analytics dept - Monday, 27 April 2020 0 comments

People can be roughly divided into two categories: those who want to know what the future holds and the others, who don’t. Forex traders, for the most part, all fall into the “want to” group. Today we are discussing the importance of Forex forecast and the most effective Forex forecasting techniques. 

Why Do We Need Forex Forecasting

If you have a general understanding of what is Forex trading and how does it work, you understand that knowing what will happen next is a crucial skill. 

Professional traders all follow a thought-through agenda when it comes to currency exchange. For them Forex forecast is the only way to make a decision. 

And the newbies often disregard the importance of Forex forecasting and take blind approach basing their trades on pure luck. That’s one of the reasons why so many traders don’t become profitable: they simply don’t know what they are doing. 

The main task of any Forex forecast is to make you see what needs to be done and, most importantly, why is this the right way to go. As long as you have a clear vision of the current events and how they might play out, you should have no trouble trading Forex successfully. 

But why is this the case? Why do we need to carefully analyze toms data in order to make a single decision?

Well, there are several ways to answer that.

First, everything on the foreign exchange market happens for a reason. This reason might be entirely rational and foreseeable or chaotic and slightly random. But it always exists. Further on we will take a closer look at what causes the price movement at either direction and what is the best way to predict it.

Second, Forex forecast is somewhat like a weather forecast: there are many factors to consider. Just like the weather, the currency market tends to repeat itself from time to time. The longer you study charts, the better you will be able to identify familiar patterns and make decisions faster.

And third, forecasting is necessary to build an effective trading strategy. Strategic approach can be highly beneficial in all areas of life, but in something as technical as currency trading especially. Use the analytical techniques from below to implement in your trading method and you will see the major difference of using forecast results vs. the blindfold-in-the-dark approach. 

But before we jump to Forex forecasting techniques, let’s first look at the basics of analyzing the currency exchange market from three perspectives: technical, fundamental and sentimental.